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Experts say jihadists could not have downed Russian plane

Investigators launch probe into Sinai crash that killed 224; say Islamic State does not have equipment or know-how to target flight at 30,000 feet

Egyptian paramedics load the corpses of Russian victims of a Russian passenger plane crash in the Sinai Peninsula, into a military plane at Kabret military air base by the Suez Canal on October 31, 2015. (AFP PHOTO / KHALED DESOUKI)
Egyptian paramedics load the corpses of Russian victims of a Russian passenger plane crash in the Sinai Peninsula, into a military plane at Kabret military air base by the Suez Canal on October 31, 2015. (AFP PHOTO / KHALED DESOUKI)

International investigators have begun probing why a Russian airliner carrying 224 people crashed in a mountainous area of Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula, killing everyone on board in one of the deadliest Airbus incidents of the past decade.

The IS affiliate waging an insurgency in the Sinai claimed it brought down the plane in revenge for Russian air strikes against IS in Syria.

But experts rejected the idea they would have either the equipment or expertise to hit the charter flight, which an Egyptian official said was flying at some 30,000 feet when communication was lost.

Egyptian Prime Minister Sharif Ismail said experts had confirmed militants could not down a plane at the 30,000 feet (9,000 meter) altitude the Airbus 321 was flying, while Russian Transport Minister Maxim Sokolov said the claim “cannot be considered accurate.”

To reach a plane at that altitude “you would need hard-to-use missiles, so it seems unlikely,” said Jean-Paul Troadec, former director of France’s BEA aviation investigation agency.

“This requires trained people and equipment that IS does not have, to my knowledge.”

Experts said a surface-to-air missile strike could have taken place if the aircraft had been descending, but a technical or human error were more likely.

The plane’s black box data recorders have been recovered and sent for analysis, and late Saturday Sokolov and Russian Emergencies Minister Vladimir Puchkov arrived in Cairo with a team of experts to help with an Egyptian-led investigation.

Two air accident investigators from France — Airbus’s home country — are also to travel to Egypt along with six experts from the aerospace giant to help with the probe.

Wreckage and dead bodies were found scattered over an area of six to eight square kilometers (two and a half to three square miles), around 100 kilometers (60 miles) south of the town of El-Arish, Egyptian officials said.

Relatives react at Pulkovo international airport outside St Petersburg after an Airbus A321 of Russian airline Kogalymavia with 224 people on board crashed in a mountainous part of Egypt's Sinai Peninsula on October 31, 2015. (AFP PHOTO / OLGA MALTSEVA)
Relatives react at Pulkovo international airport outside St Petersburg after an Airbus A321 of Russian airline Kogalymavia with 224 people on board crashed in a mountainous part of Egypt’s Sinai Peninsula on October 31, 2015. (AFP PHOTO / OLGA MALTSEVA)

An Egyptian air traffic control official said the pilot told him in their last exchange that he had radio trouble, but Civil Aviation Minister Mohamed Hossam Kamal rejected reports that the captain had asked to change course before the crash, saying communications had been “normal.”

“There was nothing abnormal… and the pilot didn’t ask to change the plane’s route,” he said.

Flags will fly at half mast on official buildings in Russia on Sunday and entertainment television programs will be canceled as part of a national day of mourning for the victims, most of them Russians aged from 10 months to 77 years.

Cairo and Moscow have both rejected the claim from Islamic State jihadists that it downed the aircraft flown by the Kogalymavia airline, operating under the name Metrojet, en route from Sharm el-Sheikh to St Petersburg.

Germany’s Lufthansa, Emirates and Air France all said they would halt flights over Sinai until the reasons behind the crash became clear.

The plane, carrying 214 Russian and three Ukrainian passengers and seven crew, lost contact with air traffic control 23 minutes after taking off from the Red Sea resort of Sharm el-Sheikh.

“Unfortunately, all passengers of Kogalymavia flight 9268 Sharm el-Sheikh-Saint Petersburg have died. We issue condolences to family and friends,” the Russian embassy in Cairo said.

Kogalymavia released a statement offering condolences to the families of the victims and defending the pilot, Valery Nemov, who it said had more than 12,000 hours of flying experience, including 3,860 hours on an Airbus A321.

Russia has a dismal air safety record, and while larger carriers have started to upgrade their ageing fleets the crash will likely raise concerns about smaller airlines like Kogalymavia.

Metrojet said the aircraft underwent safety checks last year, and Russian aviation agency Rosaviatsia said there was “no reason to consider that the cause of the disaster was a technical problem or a crew error.”

Russian aviation official Sergei Izvolsky told Interfax news agency the aircraft took off from Sharm el-Sheikh at 5:51 am (0351 GMT) and 23 minutes later failed to make contact with air traffic control in Cyprus.

At Saint Petersburg’s Pulkovo airport, family members faced an anxious wait for news.

“I will keep hoping until the end that they are alive, but perhaps I will never see them again,” said Ella Smirnova, 25, who had come to meet her parents.

The US, France, the UN and Venezuela all offered their condolences to relatives of the victims.

The last major air crash in Egypt was in 2004, when a Flash Airlines Boeing 737 plunged into the Red Sea after taking off from Sharm el-Sheikh. All 148 people on board, most of them French, died.

Millions of tourists, including many Russians, visit the resort, but an Islamist insurgency has raged in north Sinai since the army ousted president Mohamed Morsi in 2013.

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