Live Update

At Romney HQ, says SKY, “they know it’s not going Mitt Romney’s way.” He’s not ahead in any of the key swing states where he needed to be ahead. The young voters have come out for Obama. The mood is subdued.

On genuine votes counted so far in the key swing states, SKY adds, if the counts continue as they’ve begun, it’s game over for Romney.

Meanwhile, updating our earlier story, the Republican Jewish Coalition has confirmed tonight that it will poll unaffiliated Jews alongside affiliated ones in its exit poll tonight, which should be released tomorrow at 2 pm Eastern to the press.

The fact that both Democrats and Republicans (or rather, J Street and the RJC) will be polling both affiliated and unaffiliated Jews should make their numbers comparable. It will be interesting to see if there are differences between the two tomorrow afternoon.

Until the Jewish-focused exit polls are out, we won’t be able to know much about the Jewish vote. The US Jewish population is so small (roughly 2% of the population) that general exit polls don’t have enough Jews in the sample to offer a statistically reliable indication of how Jews voted.

Florida after 56% of votes counted: Obama 3% ahead. In Ohio, with 20% counted, 58-40% to Obama. Romney said before he’d only written one speech, a victory speech. “Maybe he should write another one,” Israel’s Channel 2 presenter suggests. (Though he’s 52-47 ahead on the popular vote, with 5% counted.)

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