From the Hartman Institute

Rational or reckless? War, Iran, and the limits of strategy

Are Trump, Netanyahu, and Iran acting like rational players? Yehuda Kurtzer and Michael Koplow assess an uncertain moment in U.S.–Iran–Israel relations.

US President Donald Trump prays at the first cabinet meeting of his second term at the White House, in Washington, DC, in February 26, 2025. (Jabin Botsford/The Washington Post via Getty Images/JTA)

Are Trump, Netanyahu, and Iran acting like rational players—or are we misreading the logic of this war entirely?

In this episode of Identity/Crisis, Yehuda Kurtzer sits down with Chief Policy Officer at the Israel Policy Forum, Michael Koplow to assess a volatile and uncertain moment in U.S.–Iran–Israel relations. Amid a fragile ceasefire, they explore conflicting logics and interests driving American, Israeli, and Iranian decision-making, from domestic political pressure to competing visions of regional power. Their conversation considers whether military success can translate into lasting strategic gains, how the war is reshaping Israel’s relationship with the United States, and what it means for American Jews caught between support for Israel’s legitimacy and concern about its policies.

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