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Polymarket

The Polymarket prediction market website is displayed on a computer screen, January 11, 2026, in New York. (AP/Wyatte Grantham-Philips)
April 24, 2026, 9:36 am
US soldier allegedly used classified intel to win $400K Polymarket bet on Maduro raid
Master sergeant, 38, was part of operation to capture Venezuelan leader; prosecutors say de facto leak ahead of mission ‘endangered national security’
By Hallie Golden, KONSTANTIN TOROPIN and HANNAH SCHOENBAUM
A LED sphere screen shows information inside the new location of the prediction market online platform Polymarket called 'The Situation Room,' during its opening day in Washington, DC, March 20, 2026. (Théo Marie-Courtois/AFP)
April 18, 2026, 12:51 am
‘Dystopian’ Iran war bets spark US crackdown on prediction markets
American lawmakers sound alarm over wagers on US-Israel war against Iran and rescue mission for stranded airman, raising concerns over insider trading and public trust
By STEVEN SLOAN and Ken Sweet
The logo of the prediction market online platform Polymarket is seen outside their new location called "The Situation Room" during its opening day in Washington, DC, on March 20, 2026. (Théo Marie--Courtois / AFP)
March 27, 2026, 10:35 am
Israeli Air Force major charged with using classified info to place bets on Polymarket
The reservist and a civilian accomplice were indicted last month on severe security offenses after allegedly betting on the start and end dates of Israel’s 2025 war with Iran
By Charlie Summers and Emanuel Fabian
FILE - Advertisements by the American company Polymarket predict a victory for Zohran Mamdani in the New York City mayoral election, Nov. 4, 2025, in New York. (AP Photo/Olga Fedorova, File)
March 24, 2026, 12:56 pm
Polymarket bets on US-Iran ceasefire appear to suggest insider trading
The accounts, which stand to make nearly $820,000, seem to have been created late last week when Trump suggested he was considering ‘winding down’ military operations
By ToI Staff and AP
Members of Iranian paramilitary forces (Basij) during an anti-Israeli rally in Tehran, January 10, 2025. (AFP)
March 17, 2026, 2:19 pm
Daily Briefing Mar. 17 – Checkmate? Iran’s ‘de facto leader’ and top oppressor killed
Military correspondent Emanuel Fabian on the IDF’s new ‘targeted’ ground operation in Lebanon, and threats and intimidation he faced from menacing Polymarket gamblers over a report
By Amanda Borschel-Dan and Emanuel Fabian
Left: The Times of Israel's military correspondent, Emanuel Fabian, in southern Lebanon on November 21, 2024; Right: This photo taken on March 16, 2026, shows a bet on the Polymarket site titled 'Iran strikes Israel on...?' (Chaim Goldberg/ Flash90; Emanuel Fabian/ Times of Israel)
March 16, 2026, 1:22 pm
Gamblers trying to win a bet on Polymarket are vowing to kill me if I don’t rewrite an Iran missile story
Bettors are using death threats to try to get The Times of Israel’s military correspondent to change his report on a missile impact in central Israel. This is his alarming account
By Emanuel Fabian
Smoke and flames rise from an Israeli military strike on a building in the Zeitoun neighborhood of Gaza City, February 6, 2026. (AP Photo/Jehad Alshrafi)
February 15, 2026, 2:32 pm
Daily Briefing Feb. 15 – ToI reports from Yellow Line as Gaza conflict smolders
Military correspondent Emanuel Fabian updates us on a repurposed David’s Sling air defense system, a new policy for capping reserve duty, and IDF intel used for Polymarket bets
By Amanda Borschel-Dan and Emanuel Fabian
The Polymarket prediction market website is seen on a computer screen, January 11, 2026, in New York. (AP/Wyatte Grantham-Philips)
February 12, 2026, 2:55 pm
Two indicted for using classified info to place online bets on military operations
Reservist and civilian charged with ‘severe offenses’ for actions on Polymarket; Kan had reported major bets were made on Israeli strike on Iran just before June 2025 war
By Emanuel Fabian
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