New poll puts Zionist Union in lead, but most prefer Netanyahu over Herzog
A new Channel 2 poll published tonight gave the joint Labor-Hatnua list, the Zionist Union led by Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni, 24 seats with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud one mandate behind with 23 seats.
The Joint (Arab) List, the third largest according to most recent polls, garnered 13 seats according to this survey. Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid and Naftali Bennett’s Jewish Home each received 12 seats while Kulanu led by popular ex-minister Moshe Kahlon got 8. The left-wing Meretz party garnered 6 seats, as did the haredi parties Shas and United Torah Judaism. The third haredi party, led by former Shas chairman Eli Yishai, got 4 seats.
The poll surveyed 790 respondents and had a margin of error of 3.5%.
Despite the slight lead for Zionist Union, 47% of those polled said Netanyahu was more suitable for prime minister, with Herzog gaining the support of 28%. Twenty-one percent said they did not know who was more suitable.
In the wake of Netanyahu’s controversial speech to Congress, 44% said the address strengthened his standing, while 43% said it had no effect. Twelve percent did not know.
If the Likud were tasked with forming the coalition, according to Channel 2, its 23 seats could be joined with Jewish Home, 12, Yisrael Beytenu, 6, Kulanu, 8, Shas, 6, UTJ, 6 and Yachad, 4 for a total of 65 seats, giving Netanyahu a slim majority.
Should the Zionist Union form a government, it could partner with Meretz’s 6 seats, Yesh Atid’s 12, Kulanu’s 8 and — two unlikely partners — Shas, 6 and Yisrael Beytenu, 6, for a total of 62 mandates, an even slimmer majority than the Likud-led constellation.
Shas has said it would refuse to serve in a coalition with Lapid and Liberman has vowed never to sit in a government with Meretz.