Wars getting longer, more complex, UN chief warns
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Wars getting longer, more complex, UN chief warns

Competing global alliances, cyber threats, scarce resources and multiplying political factions and armed groups are making conflicts more intractable, Guterres says

A member of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) runs to take cover from sniper shots near the central hospital of Raqqa on October 1, 2017.  (AFP/ BULENT KILIC)
A member of the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) runs to take cover from sniper shots near the central hospital of Raqqa on October 1, 2017. (AFP/ BULENT KILIC)

UNITED NATIONS — Conflicts today are longer — more than 20 years on average — and often involve multiple armed groups competing for control of government institutions, natural resources and territory, the UN chief said Wednesday.

Secretary General Antonio Guterres told a Security Council meeting on the growing complexity of challenges to international peace and security that “we are seeing not only a quantitative but also a qualitative change.”

“The perils of nuclear weapons are again front and center, with tensions higher than they have been since the end of the Cold War,” he said.

Guterres didn’t name any countries but he has repeatedly urged North Korea to halt its escalating nuclear and ballistic missile tests.

United Nations Secretary General Antonio Guterres delivers remarks to the press at the United Nations Headquarters on December 6, 2017 in New York City. (Stephanie Keith/Getty Images/AFP)

The secretary-general also said “cybersecurity dangers are escalating,” climate change has emerged as “a threat multiplier” and water scarcity is “a growing concern.”

He further warned that inequality and exclusion are feeding “frustration and marginalization.”

While there has been a long-term decline in the number of armed conflicts, Guterres said “conflicts have surged” in the Middle East and parts of Africa.

Conflicts are also “becoming more intractable,” he said, and they are becoming more regional and international.

Guterres said political factions and armed groups are also multiplying, with hundreds of armed factions in Syria alone.

“External military and financial support to conflict parties prolongs civil wars — and fuels wider tensions as local fights become proxies for larger rivalries,” Guterres said.

Yemeni tribesmen from the Popular Resistance Committees, supporting forces loyal to Yemen’s Saudi-backed President Abedrabbo Mansour Hadi, prepare and review ammunition in the area of Sirwa, east of the capital Sanaa on December 14, 2015. (ABDULLAH AL-QADRY / AFP)

“Conflicts are more linked with each other, and with the worldwide threat of terrorism,” he said. “And transnational drug smugglers and human traffickers perpetuate the chaos and prey on refugees and migrants.”

Guterres said the UN must rethink its approaches to respond to the changing nature of conflicts — and prevention must be the key.

He said achieving UN goals, such as ending extreme poverty, promoting economic development, protecting the environment, addressing climate change and achieving equality for women, are among the best “instruments of prevention.”

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