Sinn Fein shatters Ireland’s political landscape to become second largest party

Party with historic links to IRA wins popular vote and garners second most seats in parliament; is arguing for a central role in power for first time

Irish republican Sinn Fein party leader Mary Lou McDonald speaks to members of the media after arriving at the Dublin City count in the RDS centre in Dublin, Ireland on February 9, 2020, the day after the vote took place in the Irish General Election. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)
Irish republican Sinn Fein party leader Mary Lou McDonald speaks to members of the media after arriving at the Dublin City count in the RDS centre in Dublin, Ireland on February 9, 2020, the day after the vote took place in the Irish General Election. (Photo by Ben STANSALL / AFP)

Sinn Fein on Tuesday became Ireland’s second largest parliamentary party after winning the popular vote in a weekend election — shattering the political landscape and thrusting the one-time fringe party with historic links to paramilitaries into a likely role in the next government.

With counting completed in the early hours of Tuesday Sinn Fein had taken 37 of the 160 seats in the next Dail — Ireland’s lower house of parliament — after a 62.9 per cent turnout in Saturday’s election.

Centre-right party Fianna Fail were only one ahead on 38 whilst Prime Minister Leo Varadkar’s Fine Gael party took 35, a result likely to topple the premier from office.

If a new government is to be formed when the Dail sits on 20 February it must contain multiple parties.

Negotiations have already begun, with Sinn Fein arguing for a central role in power after winning 24.5 percent of first preferences in Ireland’s single transferable vote system — the largest of any party.

End of duopoly

Saturday’s ballot has broken the stranglehold of two-party politics in Ireland by introducing a new contender in the mainstream — the nationalist Sinn Fein party once shunned because of its links to IRA paramilitaries.

Sinn Fein President Mary Lou McDonald, background, walks with former president Gerry Adams after the power sharing assembly in Northern Ireland was restored at Parliament Buildings, Stormont, in Belfast, Northern Ireland, January 11, 2020. (Michael Cooper/PA via AP)

Former leader Gerry Adams and other party representatives were even banned from the airwaves in the UK as violence raged over British rule in Northern Ireland over three decades to 1998.

But with two decades of peace and a new leader under Mary Lou McDonald, Sinn Fein’s left-wing policies on tackling crises in housing and health found favor with voters.

McDonald said the two main parties — Fine Gael and Fianna Fail — were “in a state of denial” and had not listened to the voice of the people.

On a walkabout in Dublin on Monday she said she had begun talks with smaller left-wing parties to try to “test” whether it was possible to form a government without the two center-right parties.

“I may well be the next taoiseach (prime minister),” she said before chatting to supporters and market traders.

Irish republican Sinn Fein party leader Mary Lou McDonald (L) reacts as she meets with a fruit trader during a walk about in the center of Dublin, Ireland on February 10, 2020. (Photo by PAUL FAITH / AFP)

“Sinn Fein won the election, we won the popular vote… I’m very clear that people who came out and voted for Sinn Fein have voted for Sinn Fein to be in government,” she added.

Prime Minister and Fine Gael leader Leo Varadkar acknowledged the shift to “a three-party system” on Sunday and said talks between the parties could be protracted and difficult.

The Fianna Fail party took 22.2 percent of the popular vote and Fine Gael 20.9 percent.

“The Irish political system has to react to it and probably accept that Sinn Fein will be part of the next government,” Eoin O’Malley, associate professor at Dublin City University, told AFP.

Young appeal

Tuesday’s result was all the more striking because Sinn Fein ran just 42 candidates.

Analysts suggest the party may have been taken by surprise by its surge in popularity, and would likely be the largest party if it had put forward a larger slate.

Fine Gael and Fianna Fail have both ruled out any deal with Sinn Fein because of its past associations under Adams, who has long denied allegations he had a leadership role in the IRA.

Fine Gael leader Leo Varadkar arrives for the the Irish General Election count at Phibblestown Community Centre in Dublin Sunday Feb. 9, 2020. (Liam McBurney/PA via AP)

The IRA was responsible for murders, bombings and other violence for decades during decades of violence known as the “Troubles” in Northern Ireland. More than 3,500 people were killed in conflict between forces that sought to reunify Northern Ireland with the Republic of Ireland and those who wanted Northern Ireland to remain part of the UK.

Supporters of Sinn Fein point out that it has been more than 20 years since Northern Ireland’s 1998 peace agreement and 15 years since the IRA announced the end of its violent campaign. Sinn Fein already sits in government in Northern Ireland as part of a power-sharing arrangement created by the peace process.

McDonald’s policies on tackling wealth inequality and housing shortages appear to have appealed to younger voters in the EU member state’s 3.3 million-strong electorate.

Some 32 percent of voters aged 18-24 and 25-34 backed the party, according to an exit poll on Saturday.

Dublin coffee shop manager Darren Hart said it was time for another party to try after decades of two-party dominance.

“Whether they have a troubled past as a party or not, you know they deserve a shot, same as everybody else, so why not?” he said.

In a sign of the sea-change in Irish politics, Varadkar himself was beaten to the first seat in his constituency by a Sinn Fein candidate on Sunday.

He took the second of four seats but it was a sharp symbolic blow on a long night for the premier, who was facing the electorate for the first time as prime minister.

Varadkar — young, openly gay and mixed-race — has been seen as the face of a new, more progressive Ireland after referendums overturning strict abortion laws and same-sex marriage.

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