Prime Minister Bejamin Netanyahu’s Likud party and the Zionist Camp party led by Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni would each win 25 seats in the upcoming elections and would be tied as the two largest factions in the Knesset, a new Israel Radio poll published Friday found.
According to the poll, which was conducted among 500 Israelis by the Rafi Smith Institute and has a 4.5% margin of error, Economy Minister Naftali Bennett’s Jewish Home would garner 16 seats, and the recently formed united Arab list would receive 12, making it the fourth largest Knesset faction. Former finance minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid party would collect 9 seats, as would Shas, and both United Torah Judaism and Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu party would receive 7 apiece. Foreign Minister Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu and Meretz would each gain 5 seats.
The Ha’am Itanu party, headed by former Shas chairman Eli Yishai, would not make it past the electoral threshold, the poll found.
Earlier this week, a Knesset Channel poll found that a joint campaign list of the ruling Likud party and Jewish Home would win 40 seats in the coming elections, far ahead of the rival Labor-Hatnua joint Zionist Camp list
However, while several reports in recent days have suggested that Likud and Jewish Home might consider running together, Bennett stressed that his party intends to run alone.
The full poll findings with a merged Likud-Jewish Home list: Likud-Jewish Home, 40 seats (compared to 29 in outgoing Knesset); Zionist Camp, 24 (21); Yesh Atid, 11 (19); United Arab List, 11 (11); United Torah Judaism, 7 (7); Meretz, 6 (6); Ha’am Itanu, 6 (2); Kulanu, 6 (0), Yisrael Beytenu, 5 (13), and Shas, 4 (10).
Elections for the 20th Knesset are scheduled for March 17, but parties must submit their final campaign lists by the end of January.
Stuart Winer contributed to this report.