IDF assesses Iran has some 2,500 ballistic missiles, was accelerating production

Emanuel (Mannie) Fabian is The Times of Israel's military correspondent

Women walk past a ballistic missile launch vehicle in Tehran on February 11, 2026, during a rally marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution (AFP)
Women walk past a ballistic missile launch vehicle in Tehran on February 11, 2026, during a rally marking the 47th anniversary of the 1979 Islamic revolution (AFP)

The Israeli military assesses that Iran currently possesses some 2,500 ballistic missiles.

Ahead of June 2025’s war, the IDF said it identified efforts by Iran to significantly accelerate its production rate of ballistic missiles and increase its stockpile from around 3,000 to 8,000 within two years.

During the June war, Iran launched over 500 missiles at Israel, and the military reported destroying hundreds of missiles in strikes and preventing the production of 1,500 additional missiles by targeting manufacturing infrastructure. In addition, the military reported destroying some 200 of Iran’s estimated 400 ballistic missile launchers at the time.

In recent months, the military says Iran has been investing significant efforts to restore its missile production capabilities, manufacturing dozens of projectiles per month.

The IDF says Iran’s ballistic missile production rate had been on a “upward trend” in recent months, and it now possesses around 2,500 projectiles.

“The possession of missiles by a regime that intends to destroy the State of Israel constitutes an existential threat,” the IDF says, adding that it “will not allow the Iranian terror regime to restore its military capabilities, and will continue to act to eliminate any emerging threat against the citizens of the State of Israel, anywhere and at any time.”

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