A Channel 2 poll published Monday gave Isaac Herzog and Tzipi Livni’s Zionist Union 25 Knesset seats, one more than Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party, which received 24.
The poll, conducted by the Midgam polling firm among 700 respondents with a 3.5% margin of error, found that the Joint (Arab) List would gain 12 seats, making it the third largest Knesset party.
Jewish Home and Yesh Atid were tied at 11 seats each, while Kulanu, Yisrael Beitenu and United Torah Judaism all received seven seats. Shas would win six Knesset seats if elections were held today, while Meretz and Yachad, Eli Yishai’s right wing party, would win five seats apiece.
When respondents were asked who they believe will be the next prime minister, an overwhelming 67% responded that Netanyahu would. A mere 17% said they believe Herzog will become prime minister after the elections. Fifty-one percent said Netanyahu was most suited to lead the country, while 28% replied that Herzog was a better candidate for prime minister.
The poll indicated that Netanyahu would have an easier time putting together a coalition than his rivals on the left.
Trends among likely voters in Israel suggest a tighter race between Herzog and Netanyahu than previously reported ahead of the March 17 elections, according to a poll conducted exclusively for The Times of Israel earlier this month, a full 24% of likely voters remain undecided — down from the 31% of likely voters that were undecided at a similar time before the 2013 elections according to Times of Israel polling, but still a large group that can sway the election in the coming weeks. The data suggest that a plurality of these undecided voters have soured on Netanyahu, giving him lower personal and job approval ratings and edging in the direction of Herzog’s Zionist Union.