Electoral vote projections put Trump over Harris, though math varies

Howard University students watch live election results during a watch party near an election night event for Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris at Howard University in Washington, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP/Nathan Howard)
Howard University students watch live election results during a watch party near an election night event for Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris at Howard University in Washington, Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024. (AP/Nathan Howard)

Various US news outlets are giving different electoral vote counts as they disagree over what states to call, even as the electoral map shapes up just as predicted so far.

While the New York Times and Associated Press project Donald Trump at 101 votes to Kamala Harris’s 71, ABC News and CBS News give her a mere 27 votes to Trump’s 105, and NBC News puts the race at 105 to 30. Fox News, meanwhile, puts the tally at 111 to 72 in Trump’s favor.

Networks appear to be readying to call Georgia for Trump; the former president holds an 11-point lead with nearly 60% of votes counted.

The state is one of seven battlegrounds key to either candidate winning the White House.

A New York Times gauge gives Trump a slightly smoother path to the 270 needed electoral votes.

Projections are based on exit poll data shared by the networks and actual vote tallies released by authorities, though each outlet has its own model for building out the math to make a projection.

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