Multiple TV polls predict deadlock after elections, with Netanyahu bloc at 60 seats

A pair of fresh TV surveys predict a deadlock after the upcoming November 1 elections, with both giving the right-wing religious bloc supporting Benjamin Netanyahu 60 seats — one short of a majority — versus 56 for the bloc of parties opposed to him.

A Channel 12 news survey gives Netanyahu’s Likud 31 seats; Prime Minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid 24; Religious Zionism, 14; National Unity, 11; Shas 8; United Torah Judaism 7; Yisrael Beytenu 6; Labor 6; Meretz 5; Hadash-Ta’al 4; and Ra’am 4.

Ayelet Shaked’s Jewish Home party fails to cross the 3.25% electoral threshold, getting 1.9%, while the Palestinian nationalist Balad gets 1.3%.

A poll by Channel 13 news gives Likud 32 seats; Yesh Atid 26; Religious Zionism 13; National Unity 11; Shas 8; United Torah Judaism 7; Labor 5; Meretz 5; Yisrael Beytenu 5; Ra’am 4; and Hadash-Ta’al 4.

This survey gives Balad 2.2%, still below the threshold, while Jewish Home gets 1.5%.

The Channel 12 poll was conducted by the Midgam Institute among 507 respondents, with a margin of error of 4.4%.

The Channel 13 poll was conducted among 801 respondents, by Camil Fuchs in the Jewish community and Yousef Makladeh in the Arab community. It has a 3.5% margin of error.

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