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Milley: Al-Qaeda may rebuild under Taliban, pose threat to US in 12 months

US military chief tells Senate of ‘very real possibility’ of terror threat from Afghanistan; believes at least 2,500 troops would have been needed to prevent collapse of government

Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley speaks during a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on the conclusion of military operations in Afghanistan and plans for future counterterrorism operations, on Tuesday, September 28, 2021, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (Sarahbeth Maney/The New York Times via AP, Pool)
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley speaks during a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on the conclusion of military operations in Afghanistan and plans for future counterterrorism operations, on Tuesday, September 28, 2021, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (Sarahbeth Maney/The New York Times via AP, Pool)

WASHINGTON (AP) — In their first congressional testimony on the tumultuous final months of America’s longest war, top United States military officers acknowledged on Tuesday misjudging the fragility of Afghanistan’s army and said that they believed the US should have kept at least several thousand troops in the country to prevent a rapid takeover by the Taliban.

Without saying what advice he had given US President Joe Biden last spring when Biden was considering whether to keep any troops in Afghanistan, Gen. Mark Milley told the Senate Armed Services Committee that it was his personal opinion that at least 2,500 were needed to guard against a collapse of the Kabul government.

Gen. Frank McKenzie, who as head of Central Command had overseen the final months of the US war, said that he agreed with Milley’s assessment. He also declined to say what he had recommended to Biden.

Milley cited “a very real possibility” that al-Qaeda or the Islamic State group’s Afghanistan affiliate could reconstitute in Afghanistan under Taliban rule and present a terrorist threat to the US in the next 12 to 36 months.

Sen. Tom Cotton asked Milley why he did not choose to resign after his advice was rejected.

Milley, who was appointed to his position as chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff by former US president Donald Trump and retained by Biden, said that it was his responsibility to provide the commander in chief with his best advice.

Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Mark Milley speaks during a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on the conclusion of military operations in Afghanistan and plans for future counterterrorism operations, on Tuesday, September 28, 2021, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, Pool)

“The president doesn’t have to agree with that advice,” Milley said. “He doesn’t have to make those decisions just because we are generals. And it would be an incredible act of political defiance for a commissioned officer to resign just because my advice was not taken.”

Testifying alongside Milley and McKenzie, US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin defended the military’s execution of a frantic airlift from Kabul and asserted it will be “difficult but absolutely possible” to contain future threats from Afghanistan without troops on the ground.

Under questioning, he, too, declined to say what advice he had given Biden about whether to make a full troop withdrawal.

It was al-Qaeda’s use of Afghanistan as a base from which to plan and execute its attacks on the US on September 11, 2001 that triggered the US invasion of Afghanistan a month later.

“And we must remember that the Taliban was and remains a terrorist organization and they still have not broken ties with al-Qaeda,” Milley said. “I have no illusions who we are dealing with. It remains to be seen whether or not the Taliban can consolidate power or if the country will further fracture into civil war.”

Austin questioned decisions made over the 20-year course of the US war in Afghanistan. In retrospect, he said, the American government may have put too much faith in its ability to build a viable Afghan government.

“We helped build a state, but we could not forge a nation,” he told the Senate Armed Services Committee. “The fact that the Afghan army we and our partners trained simply melted away — in many cases without firing a shot — took us all by surprise. It would be dishonest to claim otherwise.”

US Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin speaks during a Senate Armed Services Committee hearing on the conclusion of military operations in Afghanistan and plans for future counterterrorism operations, on Tuesday, September 28, 2021, on Capitol Hill in Washington, DC. (AP Photo/Patrick Semansky, Pool)

Asked why the US did not foresee the rapid collapse of the Afghan army, Milley said that in his judgment the US military lost its ability to see and understand the true condition of the Afghan forces when it ended the practice some years ago of having advisers alongside the Afghans on the battlefield.

“You can’t measure the human heart with a machine, you have to be there,” Milley said.

Austin acknowledged shortcomings in the final airlift from Hamid Karzai International Airport that began August 14, such as an initial wave of violence at and near the airfield that led to multiple deaths of Afghan civilians.

But he asserted that the airlift was a historic accomplishment that removed 124,000 people from Taliban rule.

“To be clear, those first two days were difficult,” said Austin, who is a veteran of the war. “We all watched with alarm the images of Afghans rushing the runway and our aircraft. We all remember the scenes of confusion outside the airport. But within 48 hours, our troops restored order, and process began to take hold.”

The Biden administration faces criticism on multiple fronts for its handling of the final months of the war.

Taliban fighters stand guard inside the Hamid Karzai International Airport after the US withdrawal in Kabul, Afghanistan, on August 31, 2021. (AP Photo/Kathy Gannon, File)

Sen. James Inhofe, the ranking Republican on the Armed Services panel, told Austin and Milley that the withdrawal and evacuation amounted to an “avoidable disaster.”

Republicans in particular have intensified their attacks on US President Joe Biden’s decision to pull all troops out of Afghanistan by August 30, saying that it left the US more vulnerable to terrorism. They are demanding more details on the suicide bombing in Kabul that killed 13 American service members in the final days of the withdrawal.

Gen. Frank McKenzie, who as head of Central Command oversaw the withdrawal, testified alongside Austin and Milley.

Inhofe has peppered the Pentagon with a lengthy list of questions about multiple aspects of the withdrawal, including the suicide bombing on August 26 at Kabul’s international airport that killed some 169 Afghans, in addition to the American service members.

Inhofe is also demanding information about decision-making over the summer as it became apparent that the Taliban were overwhelming US-backed Afghan forces.

“We need a full accounting of every factor and decision that led us to where we are today and a real plan for defending America moving forward,” Inhofe wrote last week.

The withdrawal ended the longest war in US history.

The Biden administration, and some Democrats in Congress, have argued that former US president Donald Trump bears some of the blame for the war ending in a Taliban victory, since his administration signed a deal with the Taliban in 2020 that promised a full American withdrawal by May 2021. They also have pointed to a yearslong US failure to build an Afghan military that could stand up to the Taliban.

Taliban soldiers stand guard in Panjshir province northeastern of Afghanistan, on Wednesday, September 8, 2021. (AP Photo/Mohammad Asif Khan)

“This is not a Democratic or a Republican problem. These failures have been manifesting over four presidential administrations of both political parties,” Sen. Jack Reed said the day after the Taliban took over Kabul on Aug. 15.

Although Tuesday’s hearing was scheduled to focus on Afghanistan, other topics were sure to come up, including Milley’s actions during the final months of Trump’s presidency.

Some in Congress have accused Milley of disloyalty for what the book “Peril,” by Bob Woodward and Robert Costa, reported as assurances to a Chinese general that the US had no plan to attack China, and that if it did, Milley would warn him in advance.

In the days following news accounts of the book’s reporting, Milley declined to comment in detail, instead telling reporters that he would lay out his answers directly to Congress. His only comments have been that the calls with the Chinese were routine and within the duties and responsibilities of his job.

Both Milley and Austin have defended the US military’s execution of an Afghanistan withdrawal that Biden ordered in April. The pullout was largely completed by early July, but several hundred troops were kept in Kabul, along with some defensive equipment, to protect a US diplomatic presence in the capital.

The State Department initially said that the diplomats would remain after the military withdrawal was completed by August 31, but when the Afghan forces collapsed and then-Afghan president Ashraf Ghani fled the country, leaving the Taliban in charge, a frantic evacuation began.

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