Final poll ahead of vote shows Netanyahu bloc one short of majority

The Kan public broadcaster’s final poll ahead of the November 1 election indicates Benjamin Netanyahu’s religious-right bloc will fall just short of a majority in the 120-seat Knesset.

The poll also shows a rebound for the Left-wing Labor and Meretz parties, who had been hovering just above the election threshold in previous polls.

The survey gives Likud 31 seats, with Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid second on 24.

The far-right Religious Zionism continues to rise, and is forecast to be the third-largest party, with 14 seats.

The National Unity party polls at 11 seats; Shas, 8; United Torah Judaism, 7; Yisrael Beiteinu, 7; Labor, 6; Meretz, 5; Ra’am, 4;  and Hadash Ta’al, also at 4.

These results give Netanyahu’s bloc 60 seats.

The anti-Netanyahu coalition has 56, and Hadash-Ta’al, who stated that they will not join a coalition, holds the remaining 4 seats.

Both the Arab nationalist Balad party and Ayelet Shaked’s Jewish Home fail to cross the threshold, with 2.2% and 2% of the vote, respectively.

The poll was conducted among 1,301 people and has a margin of error of 2.7%.