Israel said to warn US that Iran could use missile launch exercise as cover to strike

In this image provided December 4, 2025, by Sepahnews of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a missile is launched as a part of the guard's drill in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. (Sepahnews via AP)
In this image provided December 4, 2025, by Sepahnews of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, a missile is launched as a part of the guard's drill in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. (Sepahnews via AP)

Israel has warned the Trump administration that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps may be using an ongoing military exercise focusing on missiles as cover to launch an attack on Israel, according to Axios.

Citing Israeli and US sources, the news site says that Israel has a much lower risk tolerance after Hamas’s October 2023 attack, and notes that Jerusalem issued previous such warnings six months ago when it identified similar movements of Iranian missiles.

“The chances for an Iranian attack are less than 50 percent, but nobody is willing to take the risk and just say it is only an exercise,” an Israeli source is quoted as saying.

An American source says that the US intelligence community has not seen any signs that an Iranian strike could be imminent, with Axios reporting that IDF Chief of Staff Lt. Gen. Eyal Zamir discuss with US CENTCOM commander Adm. Bradley Cooper in Tel Aviv on Sunday.

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