Washington Post analysis finds hospital blast not caused by airstrike
A Washington Post analysis, using triangulated videos and other data, appears to confirm Israel’s contention that the blast at al-Ahli hospital on October 17 was not caused by an Israeli airstrike, but rather a misfired Palestinian rocket.
However, like a New York Times analysis, it finds that a video that appears to show a rocket exploding in mid-air moments before the blast, and cited as evidence by the IDF, likely shows an unrelated Iron Dome interceptor missile.
The Post’s review, using videos shot in Bat Yam and Netivot, finds the rockets were fired from somewhere southwest of the hospital.
We triangulated the rocket launch to a place southwest of al-Ahli Hospital that matched the location the IDF has identified as the launch site of a misfired rocket that hit the hospital. We also geolocated the barrage’s initial path and found it flew in the hospital's direction. pic.twitter.com/ynRRuQkSzY
— Evan Hill (@evanhill) October 27, 2023
Another video, in which a projectile can be heard screaming through the air before the hospital parking lot goes up in flames, is consistent with the noise a falling rocket would make as opposed to an air strike, according to forensic audio experts.
Damage from the blast site is also consistent with a malfunctioning rocket filled with fuel and not an air strike, it finds.
Video filmed from a building about 500 feet southeast of the hospital captured the high-pitched scream of a projectile speeding by just before the explosion. The Post sent that video to multiple audio forensic experts for review. pic.twitter.com/u87lVcl0MK
— Evan Hill (@evanhill) October 27, 2023
However, al-Jazeera footage cited by the IDF as proof of the failed rocket launch actually appears to show an Iron Dome missile exploding mid-air, according to the station, which uses other videos to triangulate the launch source to outside Gaza. Experts note the missile’s trajectory shows it changing direction, rather than following a rocket’s ballistic path.
The Israeli military has claimed the rocket that hit al-Ahli was misfired during an Islamic Jihad barrage.
Check your own footage before you accuse Israel.
18:59 – A rocket aimed at Israel misfired and exploded.
18:59 – A hospital was hit in Gaza.You had one job. https://t.co/iCgYOkaE84 pic.twitter.com/Ag2mKCBb6M
— Israel Defense Forces (@IDF) October 18, 2023