Analysis

As DNC caps her ‘joyful’ rollout, Harris’s real test begins

Catapulted out of Biden’s shadow, VP is yet to face serious questions on her pivot from progressive positions, as Trump consolidates attack lines on the ‘San Francisco liberal’

US Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris, waves at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, August 22, 2024. (AP/J. Scott Applewhite)
US Vice President and Democratic presidential nominee Kamala Harris, waves at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, August 22, 2024. (AP/J. Scott Applewhite)

CHICAGO, Illinois (AP) — Over and over, from the massive stage in the electric convention hall, the Democrats this week predicted that Kamala Harris would defeat Donald Trump. They described her as a historic figure, the embodiment of hope, “the president of joy.”

But amid the extraordinary optimism, former first lady Michelle Obama offered a sober warning: “No matter how good we feel tonight or tomorrow or the next day, this is going to be an uphill battle.”

The word of caution was quickly drowned out by the excitement that overwhelmed the standing-room-only 17,000-person arena in downtown Chicago. But as activists, operatives and party leaders leave the Democratic National Convention and fan out across America, a stark reality exists: The real test for Harris has only just begun.

More than a month after United States President Joe Biden stepped aside and endorsed her, Harris has barely started to outline detailed plans she would pursue as president to address the nation’s biggest challenges — immigration, crime and climate change, among them. The vice president has yet to sit down for even one comprehensive media interview to face difficult questions about her flip-flops on policy in recent years, her leadership style and the focus on race and gender that looms over her historic candidacy.

“We can’t put our heads in the sand. She’s a Black woman. The bar is going to be higher for everything,” said John Anzalone, a pollster who has served the last three Democratic presidential nominees. “And guess what? That means, even mistakes. Mistakes are going to be magnified.”

At the same time, Harris’s allies acknowledge she remains largely undefined in the minds of many voters, having operated in Biden’s shadow for much of the last four years. The relative anonymity offers both opportunity and risk.

US Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, speaks during the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, August 22, 2024. (AP/Morry Gash)

“The bad thing about vice presidents is that nobody knows who you are. The good thing about vice presidents is that nobody knows who you are,” said David Axelrod, who served as chief strategist to former US President Barack Obama.

Harris now has just over two weeks to prepare for what could be her only presidential debate against Trump, a September 10 showdown that could shift the direction of the race. The first presidential debate, on June 27, effectively forced Biden to drop out of the race.

For now, Harris’s team feels no urgency to roll out a comprehensive policy platform or sit for media interviews that might jeopardize the positive vibes that have defined her nascent campaign and produced a flood of campaign donations and a growing army of swing-state volunteers.

During a series of meetings throughout the convention week, her advisers cast her policy agenda as a continuation and expansion on Biden’s achievements, particularly on economic matters, even if it may look and sound different in some cases.

Then-Democratic nominee US President Joe Biden, right, and his Republican rival, former US President Donald Trump, participate in the first presidential debate of the 2024 elections at CNN’s studios in Atlanta, Georgia, June 27, 2024. (Andrew Caballero-Reynolds / AFP)

Harris has notably dropped her support for Medicare for All and her opposition to fracking, or hydraulic fracturing, an ecologically dubious way to produce oil and gas that has made the US a major player on the global energy market.

Both positions had been defining features of Harris’s brief 2019 presidential campaign. Her aides insist her values remain the same, but she’s embraced more centrist policies out of pragmatism.

Meanwhile, Harris’s allies believe it’s only a matter of time before Trump settles on an effective line of attack.

In recent days, the Republican former president has adopted a kitchen-sink approach against Harris that includes attacks about her racial identity, her laugh, her record as vice president and her history as a “San Francisco liberal.”

“He’ll figure out how to get a message and land a political punch,” Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro, who delivered a prime-time convention speech this week, said of Trump.

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro walks on stage to speak during the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, August 21, 2024. (AP/J. Scott Applewhite)

Polling reveals that voters’ views of Harris have shifted relatively rapidly in the month since Biden stepped aside and she became the de facto nominee.

In a June AP-NORC poll, just 39 percent of Americans said they had a favorable opinion of Harris and 12% said they didn’t know enough to say.

After Biden stepped aside, an August AP-NORC poll found that 48% of Americans had a favorable opinion of Harris with just 6% saying they didn’t know enough to have an opinion. The latest poll also showed that 27% of adults have a “very” favorable opinion of Harris, up from 14% in June.

The sharp shift raises the possibility that public opinion could change again as voters learn more.

It also raises the possibility that Harris’s momentum has less to do with her candidacy than a sense of relief among Democrats that Biden stepped aside. Shortly before he left the race, an AP-NORC poll found that nearly two-thirds of Democrats said they didn’t want Biden to run again, and about half said they’d be dissatisfied if he were the nominee.

US President Joe Biden, right, clasps the hand of his vice president, Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, at the Democratic National Convention in Chicago, Illinois, August 19, 2024. (AP/Jacquelyn Martin)

Young Democrats of America president Quentin Wathum-Ocama said his enthusiasm is based on a combination of relief that Biden stepped aside and excitement about Harris. Given her relatively low profile over the last four years, he conceded that even he does not know much about her governing plans.

As a public school teacher, he said he’d like to hear more about her education policy, for example.

“Do people know her? People are aware of her,” Wathum-Ocama said. “I can be excited, but I still want more.”

Times of Israel staff contributed to this report.

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