A Channel 13 poll gives Likud 28 seats, followed by Yamina and Yesh Atid, with 16 each.
Gideon’s Sa’ar’s party comes in fourth place, with 15 seats.
The Joint List would win 11, while Shas, United Torah Judaism, Meretz and Yisrael Beytenu would each pick up seven. Blue and White would become the smallest party, with just six seats.
Under this scenario, right-wing and centrist parties can’t form a government without Netanyahu, unless they pull away one of his ultra-Orthodox allies or if the left-wing Meretz and right-wing Yamina agree to sit in the same coalition.
Netanyahu, meanwhile, can’t form a right-wing coalition without Sa’ar’s support, coming up three seats short of a majority if he teams up with Yamina and the Haredi parties.
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