A Channel 12 poll predicts Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud would win 28 seats if elections were held today but would struggle to form a governing coalition, and Naftali Bennett’s Yamina could have a kingmaker role in the creation of the next government.
Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid placed second in the poll after Likud with 18 seats; Gideon Sa’ar’s New Hope would follow with 13; Naftali Bennett’s Yamina would win 11 seats; the Joint List would pick up nine; followed by Shas with eight; United Torah Judaism and Yisrael Beytenu with seven each; Labor with six; Religious Zionism with five; and Meretz and Blue and White would each win four.
Party leaders ahead of the 2021 elections (from left): Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Benjamin Netanyahu, Gideon Sa’ar, Benny Gantz (Courtesy)
The poll sees Likud losing one seat compared to recent surveys and Yesh Atid gaining one seat, slightly narrowing the gap between the two largest parties.
The poll gives Netanyahu’s bloc of right-wing and religious parties that have agreed to join a Likud-led government 48 seats, with Yamina bringing it up to 59 — two seats short of a majority government in the 120-seat Knesset.
Netanyahu’s rivals could seemingly pull together 63 seats with Yamina, though there are vast ideological differences between the parties.
Netanyahu is still seen as best-suited for prime minister (30%), followed by Lapid (23%), Sa’ar (12%) and Bennett (10%).
The combined internet and phone survey was conducted on 500 respondents on Wednesday. It has a margin of error of 4.4%.
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