Poll: Likud poised to win 28 seats; Netanyahu can’t pull together government

A poll by Channel 12 predicts Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud would pick up 28 Knesset seats in the upcoming election, but does not appear able to form a majority government.

The poll gives 18 seats to Yesh Atid; 13 to New Hope; 11 to Yamina; 9 to the Joint List; 8 to Shas; 7 to United Torah Judaism; 7 to Yisrael Beytenu; 6 to Labor; 5 to Blue and White; 4 to Meretz; and 4 to Religious Zionism.

Netanyahu, along with his ultra-Orthodox and right-wing allies, would together have 47 seats, which rises to 58 if Naftali Bennett’s Yamina joins. That’s still three seats shy of a Knesset majority.

Party leaders ahead of the 2021 elections (from left): Yair Lapid, Naftali Bennett, Benjamin Netanyahu, Gideon Sa’ar, Benny Gantz (Courtesy)

His rivals, meanwhile, would have 60 seats among the center-right, and another four seats from the left-wing Meretz — technically winning a majority though the parties are divided by deep ideological differences and over who should be premier.

The survey is conducted with 506 respondents, and has a margin of error of 4.4%.


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