New polls show right-wing merger doesn’t win PM majority — even if Otzma passes

All three major networks have held new polls following the merger on the right. The newly reformed Yamina wins anywhere between 7 and 10 seats but the right-wing bloc does not have 61 Knesset seats in any survey and Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu remains kingmaker, as it was following the two national votes in 2019.

Channel 12’s poll is the most optimistic for the right: Blue and White 34, Likud 32, Joint List 13, Yamina 10, Shas 8, Labor-Gesher-Meretz 8, Yisrael Beytenu 8, United Torah Judaism 7. Otzma Yehudit does not pass the electoral threshold. The right-wing bloc has 57 seats sans Liberman, center-left bloc has 55 seats.

Channel 13’s poll has Otzma Yehudit just managing to enter the Knesset but is worse for the right-wing as a whole: Blue and White 34, Likud 31, Joint List 14, Labor-Gesher-Meretz 9, Yisrael Beytenu 8, United Torah Judaism 7, Yamina 7, Shas 6, Otzma Yehudit 4. The right-wing bloc has 55 seats without Liberman, the center-left bloc has 57.

Finally Kan TV has the best result for the center-left: Blue and White 36, Likud 31, Joint List 13, Labor-Gesher-Meretz 9, Shas 9, United Torah Judaism 8, Yamina 7, Yisrael Beytenu 7. Otzma Yehudit does not pass. The right-wing bloc has 55 seats without Liberman, the center-left bloc has 58.