Nations drawing down oil stocks at record pace, IEA says

Countries are tapping into oil inventories and strategic reserves at a “record pace” due to the “unprecedented” supply disruptions caused by the US-Israeli war with Iran, the International Energy Agency says.

Global stocks were drawn down by a further 117 million barrels in April, the agency says, after a 129-million-barrel drawdown in March following the war’s outbreak.

“Rapidly shrinking buffers amid continued disruptions may herald future price spikes ahead,” the IEA warns in its monthly report.

Tehran has effectively closed the strategic Strait of Hormuz to Gulf oil and gas exports, sending prices soaring and forcing nations to scramble for alternative supplies.

The IEA said in March that it would provide global markets with 400 million barrels from the emergency stocks of IEA members, of which around 164 million barrels have already been drawn.

“The pace of emergency stock releases picked up pace in April, with further volumes set to hit the market in the coming months,” the agency says.

Fears of shortages are rising with the summer travel season approaching in the northern hemisphere, with airlines already warning of jet fuel shortages in a matter of weeks if supply disruptions persist.

“With global oil inventories already drawing at a record clip, further price volatility appears likely ahead of the peak summer demand period,” the agency says.

Surging prices are also weighing on the demand outlook as end users, such as petrochemical and heavy manufacturers, reduce usage.

The IEA now expects global demand to shrink by 2.4 million barrels per day in the second quarter, down from its forecast of 3.5 million barrels before the war erupted.

Meanwhile, the OPEC oil cartel says it still believes demand will increase in 2026 by 1.2 million barrels per day.