Poll gives Zionist Union 3-seat edge over Likud

A poll published Tuesday gave the Zionist Union a three-seat lead over the Likud party with only two weeks remaining before the elections.

According to the Knesset Channel poll, the Zionist Union will win 24 seats, while Likud will win 21. Next come the Yesh Atid party and the Arab Joint List with 13 seats apiece.

The Jewish Home party would win 12 seats, while Moshe Kahlon’s Kulanu party would have eight, the poll found. Shas was predicted to garner seven seats, as was United Torah Judaism. Meretz would score six seats, Yisrael Beytenu five and Eli Yishai’s Yachad party four, just squeezing over the electoral threshold.

The findings show Zionist Union’s Isaac Herzog with a better prospect than in most previous polls to build a coalition, though both he and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu would face complex negotiations to build a stable majority according to these latest findings.

Another poll published on Tuesday morning by Army Radio found similar results, with a slightly smaller edge for the Zionist Union. In that poll the Zionist Union, which comprises the Labor Party and Hatnua, was also predicted to win 24 seats. However, Likud was said to garner one seat more than in the Knesset Channel poll, 22.

Yesh Atid, the Joint Arab List and Jewish Home were all predicted to win 12 seats, Kulanu 8 seats, and Yisrael Beytenu and United Torah Judaism seven each, according to the Army Radio poll. Meretz and Shas were both predicted to win six seats, and Yachad four.

שבועיים לבחירות, סקר בוקר טוב ישראל: pic.twitter.com/rccNC7qTFt

— גלצ (@GLZRadio) March 3, 2015

The Haaretz “poll of polls,” which summarizes several surveys taken over the last few days, gives the Zionist Union 24 and Likud 23. According to Haaretz, Meretz is teetering on the electoral threshold with five seats. Other parties fare similarly to the two polls mentioned above.

The Knesset Channel poll was conducted on Monday. Eight hundred respondents took part, resulting in a 3.1 percent margin of error.

The Army Radio poll was conducted on March 1-2, polling 600 respondents, with a margin of error of around 4%.