TV poll finds coalition parties would only win 50 seats at election; Bennett gains seat since last week

A Channel 12 news survey finds coalition parties would only win 50 seats in the 120-member Knesset if elections were held today.

The poll puts Likud at 25, Naftali Bennett’s Bennett 2026 at 21, one more than the previous poll, and Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! steady at 14. The Democrats, led by Yair Golan, would win 10 seats, while Shas would win 9.

Otzma Yehudit would win 9, Yisrael Beytenu 8, Yesh Atid 7, United Torah Judaism 7, Hadash-Ta’al 5, and Ra’am 5.

Benny Gantz’s Blue and White and Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism fail to cross the electoral threshold.

Per the poll, the coalition would get 50 seats while the opposition would garner 70 — but 60 without the Arab parties.

Asked about this week’s Independence Day torch-lighting ceremony, 45% of respondents say it was politicized, while 31% say it was stately, while 24% say they didn’t know.

Respondents want a state commission of inquiry into the failures surrounding the October 7, 2023, invasion and massacre, rather than a panel “appointed by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu,” by a margin of 60-23%, the poll finds.