IDF believes Iran still has over 1,000 ballistic missiles that can reach Israel, intelligence officer says

Iran's domestically built missiles and satellite carriers are displayed in a permanent exhibition at a recreational area in northern Tehran, Iran, March 24, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)
Iran's domestically built missiles and satellite carriers are displayed in a permanent exhibition at a recreational area in northern Tehran, Iran, March 24, 2026. (AP Photo/Vahid Salemi)

The Israeli military believes that Iran still has more than 1,000 ballistic missiles that can reach Israel, an Israeli Air Force intelligence officer tells Channel 12 news.

“The Iranians have more than 1,000 missiles that are capable of reaching Israel,” says Lt. Col. “Tet,” who leads the research on Iran’s missiles and drones in the Air Intelligence Group, the IAF’s intel unit.

At the start of the war, the IDF assessed that Iran had 2,500 ballistic missiles. Iran has since fired over 500 missiles at Israel, as well as hundreds at other countries in the Middle East, and potentially hundreds of missiles were destroyed in strikes.

Iran’s missile fire on Israel has slowed to around 10-15 missiles a day in recent weeks, down from around 90 on the first day of the war.

Since the start of the conflict, the military assessed that attacks from Iran would continue as long as the war is active, and the rate of missile fire could even increase.

“In all honesty, I assess it will not reach zero [launches a day],” the officer tells Channel 12 news in an interview.

“I think they will continue to launch ballistic missiles. I don’t think it will be significantly more than what we have seen,” he says.

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