Israeli ministers, security officials reportedly say Iranian regime collapse could take a year, amid ‘fog’ over war’s length

Nava Freiberg is The Times of Israel's deputy diplomatic correspondent.

Government ministers have said, following a security briefing, that the fall of Iran’s regime could take up to a year, even as the ongoing US-Israeli campaign against Iran is expected to end sooner, the Kan public broadcaster reports, citing ministers present at the briefing and Israeli officials.

“After [the campaign ends], the work will be up to the Iranian people,” ministers tell the network, while Israeli security officials add that “there is real fog regarding the duration of the attack in Iran,” since it is “difficult to decipher” the intentions of US President Donald Trump.

The officials add that conditions are not yet ripe for the Iranian public to take to the streets, and that Israeli and US airstrikes are expected to continue in the coming week.

Israeli officials also acknowledge to Channel 13 – apparently referring to the same briefing – that there is no certainty Iran’s regime will fall, and that no signal has been received from Trump indicating when the fighting will end.

The officials say that for now, Israel’s strategy is to maintain sustained military pressure until the Iranian people can overthrow their rulers.

“Our role is to continue striking the oppressors,” one official tells Channel 13, “until the public rises up.”

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