Hamas negotiators in Cairo this week have signaled a willingness to come down from demands they made last month that led to the collapse of hostage talks in Doha, an Israeli official and an Arab diplomat familiar with the matter tell The Times of Israel.
Arab mediators have passed along the development to Israel, but Jerusalem has responded that it is not interested in another partial ceasefire and is only willing to forgo its plans to take over Gaza City if Hamas agrees to all of its demands for ending the war, the Israeli official says.
Those demands include the release of all 50 remaining hostages, the disarmament of Hamas and the demilitarization of the Gaza Strip.
But the gaps on those issues are very wide, particularly regarding the disarmament of Hamas, with the Arab mediators believing that it is a “poison pill” designed to blow up the talks, as it will likely require ongoing intensive Israeli military operations in Gaza in order to verify that it is being upheld, the Arab diplomat says.
Instead, the Arab mediators prefer a gradual approach to dealing with Hamas’s weapons, akin to the system that is in place in Lebanon. Arab countries are willing to contribute troops to this effort on the condition that it is at the invitation of the Palestinian Authority, the diplomat recalls.
But another one of Israel’s conditions for ending the war is barring any PA role in the governance of Gaza, effectively preventing the Arab initiative from moving forward.
Despite opposition from Jerusalem, Egyptian and Qatari mediators are planning to resume talks with Hamas on Saturday aimed at getting the group’s final approval on an updated proposal that is far closer to the one that the US and Israel authorized last month.
While it has been characterized as a partial deal, the Arab diplomat stresses that it still has the potential to turn into a permanent ceasefire if the sides hold successful negotiations during the envisioned 60-day truce. During that two-month period, 10 living hostages and 18 bodies will be released in exchange for an agreed-upon number of Palestinian security prisoners.
The US and Israel pulled their negotiators out of Doha last month due to frustration over Hamas’s demands regarding the scope of the IDF’s withdrawal from Gaza, the humanitarian aid mechanisms that will be in place during the truce and the number of Palestinian security prisoners it was demanding, the Israeli official says.
If Hamas gives its final approval of a softened proposal that comes down from those demands in the coming days, the mediators will present it to Israel, forcing Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to decide whether to retreat from his declarations that he will no longer accept partial deals.
If he agrees to walk back those assertions, the sides will still have to hold another round of talks to agree on the Palestinian security prisoners to be released in the deal, the Arab diplomat clarifies.
The Israeli official says that the security establishment will likely urge the political echelon to take the deal, as it will secure the release of at least 10 living hostages, whereas the Gaza City takeover will risk the lives of some of those captives, with no guarantee that the military pressure will lead Hamas to capitulate.
Netanyahu currently feels that Hamas is buying time by expressing interest to mediators in a partial deal when it is not actually serious and that only military pressure will secure the release of all remaining hostages, the Israeli official adds.
Meanwhile, Channel 12 reports that Netanyahu received a “dramatic” document from who the network dubbed as a “professional” source involved in the negotiations, expressing in writing Hamas’s willingness to reach a partial deal after the terror group long insisted that it would only release additional hostages in exchange for an up-front Israeli commitment for a permanent ceasefire.
While Hamas appeared to forgo that demand earlier this summer, its subsequent demands were rejected by Israel and the US, leading to the talks’ collapse.
The Arab diplomat argues that Israel raised new demands of its own in June relating to the scope of its withdrawal that led the talks to drag out before the US eventually convinced Netanyahu to come down from them. But by then, Hamas came back with new demands of its own, and the window of opportunity for a deal was missed, the diplomat says.