Poll by ToI’s sister site shows anti-Netanyahu bloc winning Knesset majority

4 June 2026, 9:09 pm

Edit

Former prime minister Naftali Bennett, left, and Opposition Leader Yair Lapid announcing their joint run in the coming elections, in Herzliya, central Israel, April 26, 2026. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)

A new poll published by The Times of Israel sister site Zman Yisrael shows the bloc of Zionist parties that are not aligned with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu mustering enough seats for a majority on their own if elections were held today, a first for a major survey in recent months.

The survey of 500 respondents gives the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc 62 seats, including Benny Gantz’s Blue and White, which squeaks into the Knesset with four seats.

Parties aligned with Netanyahu win 50 seats in the survey, with the two mainly Arab parties, Ra’am and Hadash-Ta’al, winning the remaining 8 seats in the 120-member Knesset.

Israel must hold elections by October 27, but may do so a little earlier.

The rise in support for the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc comes despite Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism party, a member of the current coalition, also crossing the threshold in the poll and winning four seats.

Previous surveys have shown anti-Netanyahu parties falling short of 60 seats without the support of Arab parties.

The survey scores the parties as follows: Likud: 23 seats; Together led by Naftali Bennett: 21; Yasher led by Eisenkot: 19; Yisrael Beytenu: 10; Shas: 9; The Democrats: 8; United Torah Judaism: 8; Otzma Yehudit: 6; Ra’am:4; Hadash-Ta’al: 4; Religious Zionism: 4; Blue and White: 4. The poll finds Arab party Balad and the Reservists party falling below the threshold.

The survey also shows Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar continuing to close in on Bennett’s Together as the largest anti-Netanyahu Zionist party.

Were the Arab parties to unite and run on a Joint List, they would together win 13 seats, the survey also found, in which case the parties in the pro-Netanyahu bloc would fall to a combined 48 seats, and the anti-Netanyahu Zionist bloc would fall to 59 seats.

The Zman Yisrael poll was conducted on June 3-4 by Tatika Research and Media in collaboration with the Adgenda panel. The sample size was 500 and the margin of error was ±4.4%.