ToI poll: New right-wing party would win 5 seats but not change overall picture

30 July 2026, 6:14 pm

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Left: Likud MK Yuli Edelstein attends a Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee meeting at the Knesset in Jerusalem, December 9, 2025. (Yonatan Sindel/Flash90); right: Former Likud MK Gilad Erdan takes part in a ceremony for a bulletproof ambulance donated by the Harvest Christian Fellowship to Magen David Adom, at the Tower of David, in the Old City of Jerusalem, June 1, 2025. (Chaim Goldberg/Flash90)

A new right-wing party led by former Likud ministers Gilad Erdan and Yuli Edelstein would win five seats in the upcoming election, but wouldn’t break the deadlock between the pro- and anti-Netanyahu blocs, according to a new poll from The Times of Israel’s Zman Yisrael sister site.

The poll shows that Yashar, the centrist anti-Netanyahu party led by Gadi Eisenkot, would lead the pack with 23 seats, followed by Netanyahu’s Likud at 20, a drop from previous polls, as some voters appear to opt for the breakaway party led by Erdan and Edelstein.

Overall, the anti-Netanyahu bloc would win 55 seats, compared to 49 for the pro-Netanyahu camp, both short of a 61-seat majority. The Erdan-Edelstein party belongs to neither, and the remaining 11 seats would go to Arab parties.

A poll excluding the Erdan-Edelstein party likewise finds that the pro-Netanyahu parties would win 49 seats and the anti-Netanyahu parties would win 56. Another four would go to the non-aligned Blue and White party, while the Arab parties would win 11 seats.

The poll included 500 respondents and was conducted on July 29 and 30, with a 4.4 percent margin of error.